Kelly Sans Culotte

The Rat Race: Elections 2004

U.S. presidential and congressional elections. Long shots, sure things, and all the obstacles in the maze. From The Gully.

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Election 2000
Burning Issues: Post-9/11
Thursday, July 17, 2003
Four more years
Steve Bell cartoon on George Bush's re-election campaign.
Guardian (UK)

New math
The numbers don't lie — Bush's post-Iraq War ratings are falling fast. Can the Democrats capitalize?
American Prospect (US)

Democrats say Bush's credibility has been damaged
Democratic presidential candidates offered a near-unified assault on President Bush's credibility in his handling of the Iraq war, signaling a shift in the political winds by aggressively invoking arguments most had shunned since the fall of Baghdad.
NY Times (registr. req'd)

Bush on the defensive
As E. J. Dionne points out in his July 11 column, Bush is now "on the defensive." Data from the new CBS News poll make clear why. According to the poll, just 45 percent now think the United States is in control of the situation in Iraq, and 41 percent think it is not; in April, 71 percent felt Washington was in control, whereas only 20 percent felt to the contrary. (US)

Bush raises $34.4 million, more than all Democrats
President Bush raised more money in the past three months than all nine of his Democratic rivals combined, according to reports filed with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), opening up a huge financial advantage that is likely to continue throughout the 2004 election campaign.
Washington Post (US)

Latino vote in '04 is a big enchilada
As never before, the battle is on for this massive swath of voters and potential voters.
Christian Science Monitor (US)

Democratic hopefuls get NAACP heat
Anger voiced at by NAACP Convention delegates underscores a potential problem for the Democratic candidates battling in a wide-open race for the presidential nomination.
Chicago Tribune (US)

Three support same-sex marriage
Seven contenders in the Democratic race for president told the nation's largest gay rights organization that they strongly embraced the goal of equal rights and equal protection for gays. Three of them said they support same-sex marriage.
Washington Post (US)

The trouble with Howard Dean
If the Democrats nominate Dean as their presidential candidate, he is almost sure to lose to George W. Bush, and perhaps by a very large margin.
Salon (US)

Credible alternative
Howard Dean's foreign policy views may tilt left, but they're certainly legitimate.
New Republic (US)

Howard Dean's youth machine
Not since McGovern has a Democratic candidate drawn a youth following the size of Howard Dean's — and that's got some in the party worried.
Mother Jones (US)


Dean shares platform at national Hispanic conference

Speaking in smooth Spanish and fiery English, Democratic presidential hopeful Howard Dean said he is the person to lead the nation to a better economy, improved education, universal health care and real immigration reform.
San Antonio Express-News (US)

In the running
A unique internet campaign has Howard Dean leading the race for the Democratic nomination. Could he be the man to kick Bush out of the White House next year?
Guardian (UK)

Lieberman, Dean call for CIA director's resignation
Two of the Democratic presidential candidates called for the resignation of embattled CIA director George Tenet as the rest of the field faulted President Bush for misleading the public about Iraq.
Associated Press (US)

Holy Joe, corporate Joe, G.I. Joe
Most of the mainstream press corps keeps presenting a sanitized version of Lieberman’s bio, but some of the things he’d rather forget are well worth remembering now that he’s a national candidate.
LA Weekly (US)

John Kerry turns the fire hoses on Bush
Democratic contender's New York speech is tougher on Bush's firefighters budget than on his growing Iraq debacle.
Salon (US)

Kerry raps Bush policy on postwar Iraq
Sen. John F. Kerry (D-Mass.) sharply criticized the Bush administration's postwar policy in Iraq, accusing the United States of arrogance in not creating an international force to secure the country and warning that failure in Iraq will undermine the global war on terrorism.
Washington Post (US)

Nader urging Democrats to back Kucinich in primaries
Consumer activist Ralph Nader, still undecided about running again as a third-party candidate, said that he is urging Democrats to vote for Rep. Dennis Kucinich in the presidential primaries next year.
Plain Dealer (US)

On a mission in a political second act
Returning to politics after a fall from grace that led to her defeat six years later, Braun, 55, is trying to prove that she can connect on a larger stage.
Washington Post (US)

The Democrats' brewing civil war
It’s clear that the Dean camp and the Democratic Leadership Council are fighting an increasingly acrimonious war. Even as the Democratic Party seeks to unite against George W. Bush, many of its grassroots activists are in mutiny. The rift is less about issues than an argument about the way politics work in America and the role of passion and anger in stirring the electorate, and its resolution will determine the Democratic strategy in 2004 and the direction of the party thereafter.
Salon (US)

Wednesday, July 09, 2003
Losing battle
Would-be Democratic presidential candidates in 2004 face a dilemma. They can play by the new rules and increase their chance of winning, but at the risk of weakening the country. Or they can opt for responsible, moderate proposals that would strengthen American society-and almost certainly consign themselves to immediate electoral defeat.
Boston Globe (US)

Confusion and outrage on the right
A series of gay-rights victories in the past few weeks has left social conservatives appalled, apoplectic, and not quite sure how to respond. Yet their anger and energy have to go somewhere, and some conservatives are determined to find a way to inject the issue into the 2004 election—and force candidates to take sides.
Salon (US)

Democrats see an opening in Bush's re-election armor
Democratic leaders are urging the party's presidential candidates to aggressively take the Bush administration to task for failing to find chemical or biological weapons in the seven weeks since the president declared an end to major combat in Iraq.
Chicago Tribune (US)

The most dangerous president ever
George W. Bush is not only lackluster on gay rights—or even mildly damaging; he is the single most dangerous president we’ve had on the issue, one who could very well do more harm to gay individuals and their civil rights movement than any other president in history.
The Advocate (US)

Activists push back at NYPD
Plans are forming more than a year in advance to ensure "the highest levels of security this city has ever seen" when President George W. Bush arrives to be renominated in September 2004.
Village Voice (US)

Bush campaign sets sights on NY battleground
When Rudy Giuliani visited President Bush in the Oval Office last year to pitch the idea of holding the Republican convention in New York, he made what seemed like a far-fetched argument: that Bush had a shot at winning the overwhelmingly liberal state in 2004, if only he tried.
Boston Globe (US)

The anti-Bush campaign kicks off
In what looked like a mini dress rehearsal for the cacophony of dissent that's expected to hit the streets of New York City during next summer's GOP convention, nearly 3,000 demonstrators gathered on Seventh Avenue to protest President Bush as he presided over a $2,000-a-plate fundraiser inside midtown's Sheraton Hotel.
Village Voice (US)

Bush re-elect numbers fall to 50%
In a recent CNN-USA Today-Gallup poll, 50 percent said they would vote for Bush and 38 percent backed the unknown Democratic candidate, with the rest undecided. Those numbers aren't very different from those garnered by Bush's father in June 1991, when the commander in chief was praised for the U.S. success in the Persian Gulf War and the Democrats were scrambling for a candidate.
Associated Press (US)

Bush credibility gap - a slow, quiet crumble
Bush's support doesn't come from his positions; it comes from something more personal. People like him in large part because they believe he's being straight with them. If that changes, his ride toward reelection may have more than a few twists and turns.
Christian Science Monitor (US)

Anybody but Bush? Watch out, Dems!
People like Dean had better face facts. The Democrats aren't going to win over everyone with the Anyone But Bush line next year.
Creators Syndicate (US)

Better than Bush
At a League of Conservation Voters presidential debate in Los Angeles, the Democratic candidates attacked President Bush on environmental policy, but California environmentalists were left asking which of candidates would do the most for the Golden State.
LA Weekly (US)

Youth hostile
As Washington pundits start analyzing potential strategies for Democrats in 2004, there has been little or no discussion of ways to win back the youth vote, or, for that matter, how to craft a message for people of all ages who process information through the language of popular culture.
American Prospect (US)

Bush puts GOP in N.Y. state of mind
President Bush collected $4 million tonight in a state that voted Democratic in the past four national elections but will be contested by Republicans next year.
Washington Post (US)

Democratic presidential debates scheduled
Democrats announced the dates of the first four of six televised debates by the nine presidential candidates.
Associated Press (US)

How to build the perfect Democratic contender
For despairing Democrats looking for the perfect candidate to run against President Bush next year, rest assured: he or she is out there. Well, sort of.
New York Times (registr. req'd)

Democratic candidates court black voters
As the Rev. Jesse Jackson looked on from the front row, center, most of the Democratic candidates for president courted his followers in a hotel ballroom this afternoon, presenting the image of a group generally united behind issues of social justice and racial equality and against a single man, President Bush.
New York Times (registr. req'd)

GOP aims for dominance in '04 race
Republican strategists see the 2004 election as their best opportunity in a generation to construct a durable governing majority, and they have set in motion a systematic and coordinated strategy designed to leverage President Bush's popularity and break the impasse that has dominated the country's politics since the mid-1990s.
Washington Post (US)

In this ring: Jerry Springer for senator
Jerry Springer, the controversial talk show host who has been considering running for the Senate from Ohio, is approaching his self-imposed deadline for announcing whether he will seek the Democratic nomination.
Washlington Post (US)

N.J. Rep. backs off term-limit pledge
A New Jersey congressman elected on a promise to serve no more than 12 years Washington saaid he will go back on his word and seek a seventh term.
Associated Press (US)

Exploration's over, and Kucinich's camp isn't packing upThe exploratory cruise is over. Undaunted by the long odds, Rep. Dennis Kucinich has decided to press ahead with his presidential campaign at least through the summer, hoping to outflank his rivals with a message aimed at the Democratic Party's liberal base.Cleveland Plain Dealer (US)

Kucinich visits dockworkers in another California campaign swing
Democratic presidential hopeful Dennis Kucinich focused his campaign on California, promoting a peace agenda in the Bay Area and donning boxing gloves while wooing a politically powerful dockworkers union in San Pedro.
Associated Press (US)

Campaign pulls bright spot from dark story
The story of Cleveland's municipally owned light plant embodies Kucinich's worldview, the view he hopes voters across the country will embrace: that the United States is in danger of losing its very soul, and that only a crusader such as Kucinich can stand up to the corrupt corporations and their political lackeys who are leading the country down this dangerous path.
Washington Post (US)

Unafraid of speaking out, Sharpton moves to a national stage
His is the archetypal journey, in this narrative, from urban prophet reviled by white society to national political figure, traveling as Jackson did toward political redemption and establishment applause.
Washington Post (US)

Florida poll has good news for Bush, Graham
Sen. Bob Graham holds an commanding lead in his home state of Florida over all rivals for the Democratic presidential nomination, but he trails President Bush in a potential general-election matchup, according to a poll.
Sun-Sentinel (US)

Dean electrifies Roxy crowd
Former Gov. Howard Dean of Vermont, a Democratic presidential candidate, capped a day of politicking in New York City on June 30 with a rally at the Roxy, a popular gay nightclub, billed as a $25 fundraiser for the Everyday Jane and Joe.
Gay City News (US)

Dean's way irks rivals, draws fans
While party leaders applaud Dean for motivating the party's core, largely through an Internet drive, several moderate Democrats have taken the rare step of openly criticizing him and warning others about supporting him. They say his candidacy and the prospect of his nomination would complicate an already difficult path to the White House.
Chicago Tribune (US)

Surge of cash puts pressure on insurgent Dean to deliver votes
Dean has redrawn the contours of the Democratic race, vaulting from dark-horse candidate to top tier on the strength of an extraordinary, Internet-based fundraising operation and the mobilization of party activists fed up with President Bush's policies and, it appears, the lack of a vigorous Democratic opposition in Washington.
Washington Post (US)

Howard Dean, Web master
Political strategists have become increasingly fascinated with the Internet as a potential new force in political organizing and fund-raising. But no one seemed to understand how effective the Web could be until Howard Dean, the former Vermont governor and presidential candidate, reported that he had raised $7.5 million in the second quarter of this year — with $4.1 million coming from his Web site.
New York Times (registr. req'd)

Short-fused populist, breathing fire at Bush
Howard Brush Dean III, 54, a Park Avenue-bred medical doctor, is the Democrats' angry Everyman, heading to Washington to make things right.
Washington Post (US)

Ex-Vermont governor comes out swinging
Former Vermont governor Howard Dean officially launched his campaign for president with rhetorical punches at what he called the "narrow-minded ideologues" in the Bush administration who have foisted tax cuts for the rich and a disdainful foreign policy on the American people.
Washington Post (US)

Dean fields tough questions on NBC
On the eve of the official announcement of his presidential candidacy, Howard Dean, the former governor of Vermont, came under intense questioning by Tim Russert on "Meet the Press."
New York Times (registr. req'd)

For Dean, insurgent tactics can cut two ways
While Dean's insurgent style has given him license to speak freely, it has also meant that Dean must work that much harder to convince donors and party activists that he is not merely a noisemaker and that he is worthy of donations.
Boston Globe (US)

MoveOn and Dean make the big leagues, the online activist group, and Howard Dean, the upstart presidential candidate, appear to be on parallel paths reinforcing each other's success, even as they change the ground rules of presidential politics.
AlterNet (US)

No candidate wins majority in MoveOn.Org PAC Democratic online "primary"
Howard Dean received the highest vote total with 43.87% of the vote (139,360 votes); followed by Dennis Kucinich with 23.93% (76,000 votes); and John Kerry with 15.73% (49,973 votes). (US)

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